The Obama administration is poised to announce YET ANOTHER initiative to stem the tide of foreclosures in the United States. So far, all of their efforts have been unmitigated failures, and the latest one will directly damage one of the most important segments of the investment industry: Real estate mortgage note investors.
Today’s initiative is truly horrendous. According to the Washington Post:
Banks and other lenders would have to reduce the payments to no more than 31 percent of a borrower’s income, which would typically be the amount of unemployment insurance, for three to six months.
There are many problems with this, not the least of which is that many of those banks and “lenders” are normal people just like me and you who sold property by taking back a note. And now, the federal government is aggressively aiming to put a stranglehold on these businesses and investors.
Did you know that there’s a substantial niche of the real estate investment industry whose primary mode of investment is to buy and sell real estate notes? Obama’s new plan screws these people directly without any regard to how it effects real people. This president is so fully opposed to business – both large and small – and this latest initiative is yet another example.
So think of it this way: Let’s imagine that there’s a retired couple named Mr. & Mrs. Smith. The Smiths are in their 70′s and they have bought and sold a few homes over the years and now they have 3 different mortgage notes paying them each month. These notes bring in an average of $850 per month for a total of $2,550 per month. This is the primary way that the Smiths pay their bills each month. And imagine that two of their buyers experience some financial trouble. Now understand that the Smiths have been in this business for many years, and they understand that they’ll sometimes have to foreclose and take back properties. They don’t want to do it, but they must because it’s their retirement income. But they won’t be able to do so under Obama’s plans. Instead, they’ll have to take a drastically reduced amount of money from those two buyers for up to 6 months.
If the payments for these buyers are reduced to, for example, $350, the Smiths will have their retirement income reduced by $1,000 per month, leaving them unable to pay their own bills. Then, they’ll probably still have to foreclose the buyers, because Obama’s own loan modification programs have clearly shown that only half (at most) of all loan modification efforts result in permanent resolution for the home buyers.
So the net result is that the Smiths, whose only “crime” is to plan for their retirement by taking back real estate notes, are unable to meet their own financial obligations. Now multiply that same result by the millions of privately held mortgages in the United States, and you’ll begin to get some clarity about the damage this new policy can inflict – and it’s 100% because of policies established by the anti-small-business president Obama.
It’s not right. I guess “Hope and Change” are Obama’s words for “Takeover and Tax”.
I fully expect the Obama brainwashee’s to respond to this post by demonizing the bigger lenders. Who cares. Those guys can take care of themselves. But keep your eye on the ball: This president is hurting individual people who don’t deserve it – and he’s doing it on purpose.
Thank you for reading http://realestate.BryanEllis.com – your comments are welcomed below.

You are so right! They missed the severity of the problem from the start, and now it’s too late, the horse has left the barn. They need to step aside and let the market naturally correct.
I say it is time for a time out and re-set the clock
I am sure it is impossible but why dont we look at it anyway.
lets go back 5-7 years in the property appraisers office
Take a look at what the value was of all property then. Calculate a reasonalble rate of increase based on region and other economic factors and rest the value of properties there. I remeber hearing many years before th e run-up that one could pretty much guarantee a 10% return on real estate per year no more and maybe a little less. Certainly not 100% as in some cases of flipping proeperties.
I blame the appraisers for letting a flipped property get into his list of comps….but then again Appraisal is an ART and not a Science…..ans So …WHO ARE WE TO ARGUE whether it is GOOD OR BAD ART?
Unfortunetley it seems we have fouled out and ther will be no overtime allowed…..
The left leans toward anti all business. The right leans toward big business and stupid wars which directly led to a President Obama. What happened to reason? Bryan is right. The big cats will be fine. Anybody claiming to be a Republican or a Democrat should be ashamed of those politicians who have represented them for the last 20 years. All a bunch of power hungry, lying, SOBs. This government protects the rich and coddles the poor. Everybody else -all us somewhere in the middle- get squeezed and screwed. Unbelievable.!
I agree, except that what the government does to the poor is enslavement, not coddling. –Bryan Ellis
I think you need to review the governments’ loan modification program where Obama had stated that it would provide loans mods.for several
100,000′s of homeowners …reality… after over a year, its trackrecord shows less than 10% being successfully modified.The government
has and is dictating totally this market.Who underwrites ALL new
mortgages (the gov) FHA,Fannie Mae and Freddie.Who decides the interest rates,who decides the money supply,who decides the flow of foreclosuers? Who takes ALL the risks/pain for the govs.decisions
you, the taxpayer does NOT the gov.
if Mr and Mrs Smith had done a proper job of prequalifying their buyers that should not ahve issued a note to a borrower who had a back end ratios of more than 30-35% anyway. So for those who exercised caution nd good judgement in accepting offers this is not such a penalty. But for those greedy investors who accepted buyers who should never have been approved in the first place the roosters are coming home….
Very interesting. The only contextually valid conclusion I can draw is that this person thinks that the solution to the issue would be for Mr. and Mrs. Smith to achieve absolute perfection in their approval criteria as a means of avoiding the punishment of Obama’s latest program for penalizing private investors. Perhaps they could take a course on perfect approval standards from Fannie or Freddie?
Honestly, sometimes it astounds me what kind of things people think are reasonable. — Bryan Ellis
INVESTING IN ANYTHING IS A CALCULATED RISK. WE WIN SOME WE LOSE SOME. TOO BAD. STOP CRYING…
Couldn’t have said it better myself. — Bryan Ellis
there is no easy solution to this problem,if anyone was in foreclosure they would want the help too.3-6 months is not a long time for reducing payments,if a person is having financial problems it might be prudent to take smaller payments temporarily than foreclose.The uncertainty of the market is driving all of this.It is not fair to blame the policy when so many other factors are the cause for this.Sometimes some is better than none!
Thanks for your comments. What you’ve said is a perfect example of a statement that’s plausible but not rational. It’s simply irrational to beat a dead horse like that. Statistically, the government’s own loan mod programs have a long-term success rate of under 50%, which means that the owner would likely have to perform at least one foreclosure ANYWAY, thus extending the pain endured by the buyer and seller for many months anyway. This policy does nothing to ease the real problem (extremely high unemployment), rather it simply pushes responsibility for the problem from those who deserve it to those who do not. Obama is not trying to solve the problems, he’s just trying to shift those problems to people who are more politically expedient for him. At some point, the piper is going to come calling, and all of this won’t be “delayable” any longer. — Bryan Ellis
This group has done more to destroy the country in one year than the rest put together.
One of the largest problems with investing in anything at this time and going forward is this one point! What are the rules?
We had pretty well defined rules and most people played by them and things went up and thing went down. It is called an economic cycle!
What we have now is no longer an economic cycle, we have the government deciding who is going to prosper and who is going to suffer. When did that become the law of the land?
I agree investing is a calculated risk but that is the key word, CALCULATED! When you do not know next week what the new rule by Obama’s decree is going to be how can anything be calculated? It cannot be calculated any longer. We are not privy to the inside dealings of the FED, CONGRESS nor THE WHITE HOUSE! A few like the SEIU are, and Dodd and Rangel, but we are left looking in and wondering what will be next and if we ask, are told it is none of our business and go shut up. How many times later have you heard the phrase from a politician, “Who do you think you are, questioning me?” Too many times!
We and most of the rest of the people of this country are well outside of the possibility of making any kind of calculated risks. When Obama took over GM and Chrysler, the bond holders were screwed into the ground and received much less, than they were legally entitled to, all were told to shut up and sit down, except the unions. Where is the calculation in that? Where do the bankruptcy laws and the protections they use to offer come in?
Yesterday around 10,000 people were put out of work by the stroke of Obama’s pen. The government took over student loans and the people who made their living writing student loans and handling them are all going to be put out of work. Maybe he plans on them being some of the 16,000 new IRS agents to be hired to run your health care!
That is Hope and Change for you, just like this last Obama travesty is more Hope and Change. The only Hope left is the Hope he does not decide to take over whatever business one is working for/in. The only Change is going from doing something productive to wondering what happened to our rights as citizens in this country.
So one after another Obama plans are failing, the loan modification plan has been a failure, the unemployment is very high and not going down, nor will it go down any time soon, that Bailout is working well. We had a mediocre rise in GDP today, which is not going to last because it was mostly a onetime blip, not my words but the economist’s words, so now we are going to have one more disastrous policy shoved down our throats because we have a Progressive/Marxist in office surrounded with other Progressive/Marxist, not one of which believes in a Free Market.
I always like it when Castro praises our leaders for being so wonderfully Progressive in cramming health care down our throats, which should tell you something!
How far does this all have to go before people understand what an unmitigated idiot this person is and the congress does something to save what is left of this country and our rights. Will any of us be left to make a private market living? Will we be overthrown from within, as Mao states in the little Red Book of Mao, that so many in this government are open about praising? What is left that we can save and is it too late for our economy and country?
I have a very good background in economics, so before some of the left shouts I do not know what I am saying think about this.
How long can you run a deficit that is larger in real terms than all of the money in the world? We have an official deficit and the official unfunded mandates, which make the stated deficit, look like chump, change. Where is the money to pay any of this to come from? China is becoming uncomfortable about lending us money, they openly laugh at our leaders in China now when talking money! Who earns money, the government or is it private companies and individuals?
It is not too much to say we are in extremely serious trouble and we are being lead by people with no knowledge or understanding of business. This administration is only comprised of 8% people having any experience in the private sector. The smallest number of top government officials before this was around 28%. If that does not tell a person something then not much will except total financial collapse of our government, and this is something most of the people of this country currently think, for the very first time, can happen and will happen if we do not change this country’s spending.
So should it come as any surprise to anyone that Obama wants to screw even more people and companies out of any chance of making a living?
It sure does not surprise me!
Use your votes people. If you don’t like what’s going on now and the direction this country is heading then do some serious homework before the November elections and make an educated choice on who you are going to vote into office. They will dictate the future of this country and how it is run. Personally, I agree with the phrase, “If they’re in, they’re out!” Good ridence! Of course there’s no guarantee that the newbies will do any better, but at least we’ll have a shot.
Give ‘em Hell Bryan!
I’ll bet you wouldn’t say that if you one of the millions of homeowners in danger of losing their homes.
Wrong. I’ve been there. I went through financial disaster back when foreclosure was still considered taboo. I didn’t look for help from the government then, and I wouldn’t now. — Bryan Ellis
Our rights are eroding daily, Obama or not. Dems & Reps are 99% corrupted polititians. The whole system is being changed from what this country used to be based on. I’m saddened by this whole mess that we call government. If you think for one minute that Obama and his group of clowns are going to make America the Beautiful a better
place to live, think again..!!! They are doing everything they can to take control of everything that americans take for granted. You wanted change, from what.? A texan that does what he’s told..?
PEOPLE’ wake up’..!!! When is enough, Enough..???
The People still have the power. The power is in the masses, not the few corrupted congressmen & women, and a Lunetic President…. Screw them….Start voting for the right leaders..!!!
Quit falling for their B.S. Matrix. Start pulling together as countrymen, the way our forefathers did. LIVE FREE OR DIE..!!!
One of the largest problems with investing in anything at this time and going forward is this one point! What are the rules?
We had pretty well defined rules and most people played by them and things went up and thing went down. It is called an economic cycle!
What we have now is no longer an economic cycle, we have the government deciding who is going to prosper and who is going to suffer. When did that become the law of the land?
I agree investing is a calculated risk but that is the key word, CALCULATED! When you do not know next week what the new rule by Obama’s decree is going to be how can anything be calculated? It cannot be calculated any longer. We are not privy to the inside dealings of the FED, CONGRESS nor THE WHITE HOUSE! A few like the SEIU are, and Dodd and Rangel, but we are left looking in and wondering what will be next and if we ask, are told it is none of our business and go shut up. How many times later have you heard the phrase from a politician, “Who do you think you are, questioning me?” Too many times!
We and most of the rest of the people of this country are well outside of the possibility of making any kind of calculated risks. When Obama took over GM and Chrysler, the bond holders were screwed into the ground and received much less, than they were legally entitled to, all were told to shut up and sit down, except the unions. Where is the calculation in that? Where do the bankruptcy laws and the protections they use to offer come in?
Yesterday around 10,000 people were put out of work by the stroke of Obama’s pen. The government took over student loans and the people who made their living writing student loans and handling them are all going to be put out of work. Maybe he plans on them being some of the 16,000 new IRS agents to be hired to run your health care!
That is Hope and Change for you, just like this last Obama travesty is more Hope and Change. The only Hope left is the Hope he does not decide to take over whatever business one is working for/in. The only Change is going from doing something productive to wondering what happened to our rights as citizens in this country.
So one after another Obama plans are failing, the loan modification plan has been a failure, the unemployment is very high and not going down, nor will it go down any time soon, that Bailout is working well. We had a mediocre rise in GDP today, which is not going to last because it was mostly a onetime blip, not my words but the economist’s words, so now we are going to have one more disastrous policy shoved down our throats because we have a Progressive/Marxist in office surrounded with other Progressive/Marxist, not one of which believes in a Free Market.
I always like it when Castro praises our leaders for being so wonderfully Progressive in cramming health care down our throats, which should tell you something!
How far does this all have to go before people understand what an unmitigated idiot this person is and the congress does something to save what is left of this country and our rights. Will any of us be left to make a private market living? Will we be overthrown from within, as Mao states in the little Red Book of Mao, that so many in this government are open about praising? What is left that we can save and is it too late for our economy and country?
I have a very good background in economics, so before some of the left shouts I do not know what I am saying think about this.
How long can you run a deficit that is larger in real terms than all of the money in the world? We have an official deficit and the official unfunded mandates, which make the stated deficit, look like chump, change. Where is the money to pay any of this to come from? China is becoming uncomfortable about lending us money, they openly laugh at our leaders in China now when talking money! Who earns money, the government or is it private companies and individuals?
It is not too much to say we are in extremely serious trouble and we are being lead by people with no knowledge or understanding of business. This administration is only comprised of 8% people having any experience in the private sector. The smallest number of top government officials before this was around 28%. If that does not tell a person something then not much will except total financial collapse of our government, and this is something most of the people of this country currently think, for the very first time, can happen and will happen if we do not change our countries spending.
So should it come as any surprise to anyone that Obama wants to screw even more people and companies out of any chance of making a living? It sure does not surprise me!
I’m a true real-estate investor, not a hard money lender or note holder. Which are NOT real-estate investments. Those are financial instruments, secured by real-estate. If those are considered real-estate investments then every bank that hold notes would be a real-estate investor.
I have 25 rental properties all are under water and barely cash flow positive. So for me, Obama’s plan sounds great. Write down my principals to current value (instead of the inflated one) , and refinance the loans? WHERE DO I SIGN UP? As you know, I could easily let these properties go, and buy 25 more for half of what I owe. Either way the note holder will take a loss. You gave an analogy of a retired couple, but if Granny and Grand Pa wanted a set monthly return for their retirement, they should have purchased an annuity, not mortgage notes!
How should we expect Obama to fix (in a year) what it took 20 years of deregulation, greed, lying and corruption to create. Give the man credit for trying to do something and not sitting on his thumb. I don’t agree with some of Obama’s decisions, because I think he should audit the Federal Reserve bank. Funny how we think we have all the answers? We know more than all the financial wizards and government cronies that strategically created this mess to line their pockets? Yea right.
You have doomed the plan before it can even be implemented? It sounds as if you have a personal issue with Obama, not his politics.
ALL true,our rights eroding away for the New World Order to come! Google FACISM and Loose Change and see our true government at work-all a conspiracy against the American People! Real estate will not be excluded as it does allow the lower guy/gal to break out, get off the rat wheel-gov does not like that!
For evil to prosper is for good men to do nothing! Get involved by voting, donating money, volunteering, etc. We are getting run over by the Chicago Mafia.
I’m sorry but I just can’t believe what I’m reading. All I see here is a bunch of negative complaining. I thought you people were supposed to be entrepreneurs and investors. If that’s correct then we need to be figuring out how we can make money from the policies being enacted not sit here crying about how much its going to hurt. I mean while the rest of the country is watching the news and believing all the bull crap being jammed down their throats we are supposed to be leading this country out of its turmoil by advancing our life’s through forward thinking and action. Lets not get involved in wasteful lines of thought that don’t produce anything but more hate. That’s what broke people do. If we are entrepreneurs we should already know that the only constant in life is change and with change comes pain and glory. I propose the we focus more on the glory because what we spend our time focusing on is what we will get. I not saying we shouldn’t pay attention to whats going on in Washington but we can’t allow them to have control of our minds. I may or may not agree with any of the policies coming from Washington but it doesn’t matter because its not my job to make policies its my job to position myself to make money from the damage being caused. Some might think well we are people and we can’t allow this to go on, but the fact is the more time we spend feeling sorry for everybody being hurt by these policies the less time we have to help. I believe we help by showing people a way out of their wretchedness and not by talking about their situations. I read this newsletter and comments for the great ideas and advice from other entreprenures, so please keep delivering. Thanks
thought this was a REAL ESTATE blog. nice job alowing right-wingers to further their agenda here. simple enuff to save the “little guys”…heave your congressmen adjust the SIZE of the investors who have to follow this rule. doubt any multi-billionaires reading here…..
I thought the entrepeneur could always find a way to profit despite gubmint……stop being posers, get good mortgages to start with (surely you can do better than the “pros” did in the late 90′s/early2000′s)….and make the money and shut up whining……I’m unsubscribed to this crap as of now!
How much more damage can this administration cause for our country? One word will solve it all ——- IMPEACHMENT!!!!