Although the number of pending home sales in November rose to the highest level in the past 18 months, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) warns that the news probably is not quite as good as it sounds. Although contract signings usually indicate positive movement for a property, agents warn that these days, there are a lot of pitfalls in between signing your name on the dotted line and actually buying a house. So although NAR’s sales agreements index jumped 7.3 percent last month to a “healthy” reading of 100.1 (100 is considered healthy), myriad issues with contract fulfillment are keeping actual sales numbers down[1]. In fact, one-third of all realtors say that they have had one contract fall through between October 2011 and November 2011, up 18 percent from the number who reported such issues in September of this year.
NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun points out that with “housing affordability conditions at a record high…and pent-up demand from buyers who’ve been on the sidelines,” the turnout from the high contract volume last month should bear fruit in early 2012. However, he admits, buyers are running into problems, “often with the mortgage” that are causing them to back out of the purchase[2]. Jeffrey Mezger, CEO of KB Home, also views the pending sales numbers with cautious optimism since even though inventory levels are continuing to ease in many markets – “a prerequisite for a housing recovery” – real estate prices continue to fall, “indicating the market continues to be weighed down by foreclosures.”
Do you think that the market is hitting bottom?
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[1] http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/story/2011-12-29/november-housing-contracts/52266760/1
[2] http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-12-29/pending-sales-of-u-s-existing-homes-rose-7-3-in-november.html

Housing will rebound as the underpinnings that support the economy recover. All real estate is local, and where things are going well, so will housing be. Building is a leading indicator. … in our neck of the woods, the rich are building, the first timers are building, and there is precious little in between.
The mqrket is far from hitting bottom Expect a drop in prices of at least
another 10% in 2012.
Anthony Garcia
Didn’t the NAR admit they inflated past statistics of home sales by as much as 20%? And I thought they were exposed right here. I grow weary of “Happy Days Are Here Again” from Wall Street.
If one digs deeper, the answer becomes clear – no one is getting financing. Why? because no one wants to buy the loans because of Foreclosuregate and Robo-signers.
Prices will drop another 10% in 2012. Interest rates will be 50% higher by year-end. Foreclosures will not level out until 2013.